Global Unemployment The phenomenon of growing unemployment across the world has become a regular feature across daily news stories. This is not restricted to one nation or region but seems to be happening across all countries. Higher structural unemployment has become an accepted fact. Some countries like Greece, Portugal and Spain are seeing depression like […]

Global Stock Brokers across continents are either firing hundreds of workers or are totally closing down. The reasons for this downsizing of operations by brokerages is

a) The Financial Industry has become too large to the size of the global economy particuarly in countries like USA

b) The reduction in risk and capital means that big financial companies are reducing and selling their operations

c) The Broking Sector has seen a Peak in 2008 and now the only place to go for the next few years is Down

The Financial Industry will shed another 150,000 jobs according to Richard Bove, an analyst at Rochdale Securities LLC . Royal Bank of Scotland the bankrupt UK bank that was taken over the British government is going to kill a number of investment banking divisions and will fire 3500 people. RBS has already fired thousand before in wholesale and corporate banking . Now RBS will completely exit from a number of divisions like M&A, Cash Equities etc. which will mean thousands of firings . In an environment when financial jobs are scarce , this means that the fired thousands will have a tough time getting into the workforce again.RBS is going to fire 3500 people in addition to 2000 already announced. This would bring down the 24,000 pre crisis headcount by almost 45% .

Financial Jobs are being let go in the tens of thousands by European and USA Financial Institutions. The Financial Industry has become too huge as a percentage of the global economy with any value creation to say something like the IT industry. The share of the market cap of the stock market had become too high during the boom boom years of 2008 and it is continuing to go down.Despite the best (some would say the worst) effort of the governments to prop up the Too Big to Fail Banks,jobs are being let go as there is not enough work. European Banks are shrinking their balance sheets as they are too leveraged and insolvent. Without the ECB crutch,almost all of them would go under.

India’s Income Disparity is not growing among the rich and the very poor but also widening between its super rich and middle classes.Note India’s Middle Class is not as big as a percentage of the population in the developed countries and its per capita income is also much lower.However India’s Middle Class is growing as the economy grows by 8-9% and despite the lopsided economic growth some of the massive wealth that is being generated does trickle to the middle class.However those gains are being eroded by a Persistent Double Digit inflation which has entrenched itself.Despite periodic interest rate increases,India’s Central Bank has miserably failed on the Inflation Front in the last couple of years.First it was having too loose a policy to overcome the effects of the global eco crisis in the aftermath of the Lehman collapse.Now it was too slow to raise rates as commodity price increased dramatically.

India’s Economy is expected to grow by around 8% in the next decade making it one of the fastest growing major economies in the world.India’s per capita has been rising constantly since the last 2 decades and is expected to continue this rising trend as well.Despite growing inequality in incomes,India’s massive population ensures that even by 15% of India’s poor enter the middle class it adds a Brazil to the addressable market for Indian consumer companies.Indian Consumer Companies especially the well managed ones with good corporate governance has given spectacular growth to investors.Companies like Titan Industries have become a multibagger stock in the last few years driven by excellent growth and decent margins.Note many of the bigger consumer durable companies in India are not listed here but have a major presence.In Electronics particuarly companies like Samsung,LG,Sony,Philips have a big marketshare but are not listed on the markets.However a number of Indian Consumer Discretionary Stocks are listed and have given huge returns to investors.